Morecambe (@2.8) vs Exeter (@2.55)
22-08-2019

Our Prediction:

Exeter will win

Morecambe – Exeter Match Prediction | 22-08-2019

Morecambe are a side that can be dominated, especially by a side like Exeter who simply offer lots more at both ends of the pitch. With an average expected goal advantage of 1.62 over their opponents, the Grecians are backed to resume winning ways in good style. In all honesty, this is a massive opportunity for the hosts. Punters can profit by getting on both Exeter to Win & Exeter to Score Over 1.5 Goals.

The visitors have kept just three clean sheets on their travels, while theyve surrendered an average of 1.75 expected goals away from home, which means that they currently boast an average expected goal difference of -0.88. Some teams can get away with not creating much because theyre sturdy at the back, but to say that Morecambe have looked useful in defence on the road would be a lie.

Jim Bentleys men havent exactly thrived going forward, as theyve scored just three goals in four games, notching only one in their last two, but theyve started to do a very good job of preventing their opponents from building up a head of steam. In their first couple of games, Morecambe didnt exactly find it easy at the back, though theyve seemingly tightened up since, conceding no goals in two games, and surrendering expected goals numbers of just 0.64 and 0.40. Even though theyve not done much going forward, such solidity has allowed the Shrimps to collect points.

Scores Vs Opponents

After four matches, Saturdays visitors have a very pleasing three clean sheets to their name. Fortunately, Exeter, like Morecambe, have done a more than reasonable job at the back. In addition to preventing their opponents from scoring in 75% of their League Two games, Matt Taylors men have generally done a decent job of stopping teams from creating lots of chances, as theyve surrendered an average of 1.05.

In terms of expected goals for, both teams have delivered reasonably weak efforts, as theyre averaging a combined 1.6. When we consider the early-season efforts of both Morecambe and Exeter, Under 2.5 Goals stands out at the prices. Add in the fact that theyve kept five clean sheets in eight games combined, as well as the fact that the pair have both scored less than a goal per game on average and its not difficult to arrive at the conclusion that a low-scoring game is more likely than the current odds suggest.

Morecambe are a side that can be dominated, especially by a side like Exeter who simply offer lots more at both ends of the pitch. Punters can profit by getting on both Exeter to Win & Exeter to Score Over 1.5 Goals. In all honesty, this is a massive opportunity for the hosts. With an average expected goal advantage of 1.62 over their opponents, the Grecians are backed to resume winning ways in good style.

Against Grimsby, they amassed a whopping 4.05 expected goals, conceding just 1.39 at the other end, while also bettered their opponents in terms of expected goals (by 0.75) last time out. In both of those matches, the Grecians created the better scoring opportunities and thus didnt really deserve to lose. Exeter come into this match off the back of two defeats, though punters shouldnt be fooled by such results.

Reason For Morecambe vs Exeter Betting Tips

When we consider the early-season efforts of both Morecambe and Exeter, Under 2.5 Goals stands out at the prices. Add in the fact that theyve kept five clean sheets in eight games combined, as well as the fact that the pair have both scored less than a goal per game on average and its not difficult to arrive at the conclusion that a low-scoring game is more likely than the current odds suggest. In terms of expected goals for, both teams have delivered reasonably weak efforts, as theyre averaging a combined 1.6.

After a couple of draws, Morecambe went to the next level on Tuesday evening, as they got the better of Macclesfield away from home. Saturdays hosts are now unbeaten since the opening day, so they ought to come into this fixture feeling confident, which is probably more than can be said for Exeter, whore now without a win in three (in all competitions).

In contrast, creating more than the opponent is not something that Morecambe have found easy to do on their travels. Moreover, their underlying numbers are particularly worrying. The visitors have won none of their last four away matches, while theyve won just three times away from home all season. Theyre averaging just 0.87 expected goals for, which tells us that creating regular scoring opportunities is not really their thing away from home. Its easy to see why Morecambe, whove scored just less than a goal per away game on average, dont notch all that many.

The visitors are pushing for a play-off finish but have work to do if they are to hold their ground in the top-seven. Side with the better team in your betting tips at 31/20 (Betfair). Morecambe went into the week just two wins better than the relegation zone and we fully expect Exeter to keep their heads under water with a strong away win.

English League Championship

Moreover, their underlying numbers are particularly worrying. In contrast, creating more than the opponent is not something that Morecambe have found easy to do on their travels. The visitors have won none of their last four away matches, while theyve won just three times away from home all season. Theyre averaging just 0.87 expected goals for, which tells us that creating regular scoring opportunities is not really their thing away from home. Its easy to see why Morecambe, whove scored just less than a goal per away game on average, dont notch all that many.

Some teams can get away with not creating much because theyre sturdy at the back, but to say that Morecambe have looked useful in defence on the road would be a lie. The visitors have kept just three clean sheets on their travels, while theyve surrendered an average of 1.75 expected goals away from home, which means that they currently boast an average expected goal difference of -0.88.