Georgia Southern (@1.22) vs South Alabama (@4.2)
04-10-2019

Our Prediction:

Georgia Southern will win

Georgia Southern – South Alabama Match Prediction | 04-10-2019 19:30

What this boils down to for me is simply the fact that Georgia Southern has shown us nothing to give us any confidence that theyd be able to get a cover let alone a win at home here. South Alabama has the weapons to put points on the board, something that the Eagles have lacked to this point this season, so Ill lay the points with the Jaguars here.

In their last game, the Georgia Southern Eagles faced the Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns and lost 37-24. On the day, they ran 68 plays which gave them a total of 252 yards. For this contest, they conceded 440 yards and forced 2 turnovers. He notched an average of 6.0 yards per reception in the game. He walked away with no picks. For the game, the Eagles racked up a total of 18 1st downs and they had 3 penalties for 35 yards telling us that they had a strong outing in terms of discipline. He rushed for a total of 93 yards by way of 21 carries which means he ran for an average of 4.4 yards per run. He tore off a long run of 21 yards but he never crossed the endzone by way of the rush. When discussing the defense, Georgia Southern allowed 11 catches on 18 attempts totaling 165 yards, and a completion percentage of 61.1%. The Georgia Southern Eagles rushed the ball a total of 56 times and racked up a total of 215 yards earning them an average of 3.8 yards per rush. In the running game, the Eagles allowed 275 yards on 41 carries which gave the opponent an average of 6.7 yards per run allowed. Shai Werts led the team on the ground in the game. Leading the way at QB for the Eagles was Shai Werts who went 6/12 with 37 yards passing but wasn't able to get any balls in the endzone via the pass. NaJee Thompson led the team in receiving yardage by earning 24 yards on 4 receptions.

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According to the latest oddsmakers, Georgia Southern is favored on the road, as the Eagles are getting odds of -11.5 points against the Jaguars. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our NCAAF Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game. The over/under total is listed at 47 points. The public betting currently has 82 percent going on Georgia Southern as the road favorite.

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Logan Wright is leading the ground game with 248 yards and two touchdowns while quarterback Justin Tomlin has run for 193 yards and two scores while throwing for 162 yards. Matt LaRoche has also rushed for 190 yards. That includes just 49.8 passing yards per game. Defensively, the Eagles are giving up 36.3 points and 413.3 yards per contest. The Georgia Southern offense is pretty weak, averaging just 21.3 points and 251.5 yards per game.

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and producewinners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

Their passing defense is one of the mediocre units in Division 1. South Alabama is making teams consider moving more up into the box by averaging 193.4 yards on the ground per game, putting them 45th in college football. For the 2019 season, they have given up a total of 897 yards on the ground and 7 rushing TDs. For yards through the air allowed per game, the Jaguars are ranked 4th in the Sun Belt Conference. When talking about points given up, they have allowed 156 total points. The Jaguars come into this matchup with a record of 1-4. The Jaguars are conceding 31.2 points per game which puts them at 6th in the Sun Belt Conference and 102nd in college football. The Jaguars average 333.4 yards per game overall ranking them 108th in college football and 8th in the Sun Belt. As a team, they have compiled a total of 967 yards rushing through 5 contests, so they'll look to the run game to try to keep the opponents off balance so they'll have open receivers. They are conceding 223.6 passing yards per contest. In regard to rushing yards, they are allowing 179.4 yards per contest which puts them at 100th in Division 1 and 6th in the conference.

Running back Tra Minter has been leading the team with 432 rushing yards and two touchdowns while quarterback Cephus Johnson has thrown for 514 yards and three touchdowns while rushing for 192 yards and four scores. Kawaan Baker is the teams leading receiver with 12 catches for 227 yards and two touchdowns. The Jaguars are putting up just 16.8 points and 333.4 yards per game on offense this year, while the defense is giving up 31.2 points and 402.6 yards per contest.

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I am not sure South Alabama will be able to do the same, but being at home should help put a few numbers up to help the over hit. While both teams have clearly struggled on offense for the season, the Eagles were able to put up 32 points on the road against Minnesota. Its a little surprising to see the total so low. I think they will continue to have success against the Jaguars and put up a strong offense number. These two have hit the over in three of their last four meetings, and Georgia Southern has scored at least 48 points in each of those three games alone.

Georgia Southern is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 home games and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games against a team with a losing record while the over is 5-2 in their last 7 games overall. South Alabama is 13-30 ATS in their last 43 games overall and 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games while the under is 5-1 in their last 6 conference games.

Jordan McCray led the team with 4 catches for 72 yards while Jamarius Way racked up 66 yards on 3 receptions. Cole Garvin threw for 343 yards and a pair of touchdowns on 25 of 45 passing, while Tra Minter added a rushing TD of his own for the Jags in the win. Defensively, the Jaguars put up 4 sacks to match their 4 interceptions, all while holding Arkansas State to 365 yards of total offense and a 6 for 15 mark on 3rd down in the win. The South Alabama Jaguars come into this one looking to build some momentum after snapping a mini 2 game losing streak with a 24-19 win over Arkansas State in their last outing. Malik Stanley led the team with 6 catches for 60 yards, while Sam Harris and Kawaan Baker each added a receiving touchdown in the win for South Alabama.

Get the consensus from the top 10 users most likely to be right on tonight's matchup below. 51% of the community is betting South Alabama Jaguars will win tonight. The Georgia Southern Eagles are favored by vegas at a line of -10. The opening line was -13 so the public has been betting on South Alabama Jaguars causing the GASOU line to shift +3.