Arsenal (@1.4) vs Aston Villa (@7.5)
23-09-2019

Our Prediction:

Arsenal will win

Arsenal – Aston Villa Match Prediction | 23-09-2019 11:30

This is a club in transition, and from the outside it may look a dream. Where there have been cup finals, there have been ruthless thrashings. The internal workings of that dream though, are creepy, unsettling and no fun at all. Where philosophy existed, relentless tinkering and gameplans fill the void. Arsenal lack identity - and they arent able to chase the success craved so desperately by an outspoken and relentless fanbase.

This being the first game between these two teams in this season I had to focus on some other factors when crafting my selection. I focused on each teams form and recent results. They have more quality and talent than Aston Villa. The safest bet in this game will be on goals scored, that is my opinion after evaluating all the factors. Arsenal is a heavy favorite in this game.

Arsenal vs Aston Villa Head to head (h2h)

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The venue is the Emirates Stadium in London. Arsenal are seen as favorites in this game and are expected to dominate this fixture. In this match preview, I will try to provide the best betting tips and correct score predictions based on my analysis of these two teams. Arsenal vs Aston Villa prediction arrives ahead of the English Premier League 6th round game. The referee in this game will be John Moss. This game will be played on the 22nd of September.

Emery must find his balance, because his structure - and his defenders - have been their own worst enemy. There is no reason, at all for Arsenal to be succumbing to that number of shots, because it will only take small moments of luck for teams to put away the Gunners. You cannot allow that amount of shots - and fail to organise a defensive structure - and expect to win games. You cannot claim to be defensive and suck up ninety-six shots. Villa should shoot often, because if there is a downfall to this Arsenal side, it will more than likely be wearing the red and white of the Gunners. Arsenal have faced more shots (96) than any team in the top five European Leagues and that stat, unlike Villa, is entirely their fault.

The scatter above shows that while Villa are close to the median, their defence is keeping them from drifting away from the pack. For the shots that Villa face, vs their xG allowed per game, Villa are doing quite well at the back. Its rare that a team outside of the top four is the complete package, but Villa need to create quality chances more often and drag themselves towards the left of this graph without sacrificing their defensive capabilities.

Arsenal vs Aston Villa H2H

2-2, and out of nothing more than a botched goal kick to flip the game state upon its head. Luiz overcommits, but he probably does it because he cant trust anyone but himself (funnily enough, nobody else can trust him). He gives away the penalty here and Watford bury it. Here, we have a mixture of both. He doesnt have anyone from the midfield aiding him, and hes having to point out another attacker to a defender - at the same time as his challenge. Sometimes, you dont make errors as an individual, you make them as a unit. Offering the weaker shooting opportunity is certainly better than giving away the penalty, but a rush of blood to the head is the decider. Its a mistake made and Luiz likely wont learn from this. Arsenals goal kick was proof enough of that.

However, their defensive issues are a very real concern and they face a Villa side who have found the net in 4 of their 6 competitive outings this season. The Gunners have won each of their last 6 competitive meetings with Aston Villa too, and considering they have won 11 of their last 14 Premier League home games, were expecting them to make it 7 in a row on Sunday.

The Gunners experienced all sorts of problems at the back in their last league match, but they are still seen as hot favourites to pick up all three points from Sundays football game. After dropping a two-goal advantage in a 2-2 draw with Watford, Arsenal will be looking to return to winning ways in the Premier League when they host Aston Villa at their Emirates Stadium.

The Villans are tough to beat at home, but they are not capable of matching top-table sides on the road. Unai Emerys troops are likely to stick to their attacking style of play against the newcomers and seeing that they are a real force to be reckoned with at home, we believe that there is a big value in betting on the capital club. In their last meeting at Emirates Stadium Arsenal recorded a 4-0 win over Aston Villa.

More England Premier League Fixtures

Arsenal is listed as a favorite here, as they should be. They have won against Eintracht Frankfurt 3:0 which is a perfect reminder for everyone of how good Arsenal can be. They only have 8 points from 5 games. Currently they are 7 points behind the league leaders, Liverpool. They are a strong team with many goal-scoring options and a solid tradition behind them. Besides that, their Premier League season didnt start well.

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Theres no reason as to why not. Why not Villa? Arsenal havent started off in an impressive manner and we know that anything can happen in football. Again, Villa might fancy a point here (or more, if they are looking at the game tape of Arsenals last match against a Watford side who have just been clipped by Manchester City).